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La Liga Spain

38 round 23.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

23.05.2026 19:00 UTC 38 round

Finished

La Liga

Valencia - Barcelona

Spain Football

Valencia

3 : 1

Finished

Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Barcelona May 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.42 / X 3.96 / 2 1.97
1X2 market: Valencia 27.9% / X 24.0% / Barcelona 48.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 27.8%

X 24.0%

2 48.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 63.0%

Under 2.5 37.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Mestalya (Valensiya, Spain), 46 457 zriteley (84% pri vmestimosti 55 000)

Referee Adrian Kordero Vega

Start 23.05.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Valencia - Barcelona

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Valensiya - Barcelona, 23 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 38 round. Valensiya - Barcelona, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 9.00 Fonbet · line only

1 1.07 Fonbet · line only

2 1.97 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.60 Fonbet · line only

2 0 8.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.40 29.4%
X	3.90 25.6%	4.16 24.0%	3.80 26.3%	4.00 25.0%	3.95 25.3%	4.00 25.0%
	1.93 51.8%	2.04 49.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	1.91 52.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	2.62 38.2%	2.59 38.6%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.55 39.2%	2.80 35.7%	2.60 38.5%	2.55 39.2%	2.57 38.9%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.25 80.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.83 54.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5	1.15 87.0%	1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75	—	1.15 87.0%
Over 2.0	—	1.18 84.8%
Over 2.25	—	1.34 74.6%
Over 2.5	1.50 66.7%	1.48 67.6%
Over 2.75	—	1.61 62.1%
Over 3.5	2.20 45.5%	—
Over 4.5	3.75 26.7%	—
Over 5.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 1.5	5.25 19.1%	—
Under 2.5	2.55 39.2%	—
Under 3.5	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 4.5	1.25 80.0%	—
Under 5.5	1.09 91.7%	—

Match center

Valencia

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Barcelona

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Muktar Dyakabi Dimitri Fulke Khose Luis Gayya Khose Kopete Lukas Beltran Renso Saraviya Travmirovannye Lamin Yamal Fermin Lopes Diskvalifitsirovannye Eray Dzhemert CHAMP

Match center

Valencia

W D W L W

17.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 4:3 Real Sociedad

14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Rayo Vallecano

10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Athletic Club

02.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:2 Atletiko Madrid

25.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 2:1 Girona

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Barcelona

W L W W W

17.05 19:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 3:1 Real Betis

13.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 0:1 Alaves

10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:0 Real Madrid

02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Osasuna

25.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:0 Getafe

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

0.6 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Barcelona

Valencia

1 matches total

Barcelona

Valencia: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Barcelona: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Barselona 0:6 (14.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (0:6, 14.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 6

6 Goals conceded 0

Match history

14.09 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Valencia

0:6

Barselona

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Valencia

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Barcelona

37 Games 37

12 Wins 31

10 Draws 1

15 Losses 5

43 Scored 94

54 Conceded 33

46 Points 94

86.47 Attacks 117.42

40.17 Dangerous attacks 64.06

0 Big chances 0

11.32 Shots on goal 18.32

3.16 Shots on target 6.89

niya 0.05 Goly Robert Levandovski Ferran Torres 0:1 61' Khavi Gerra 1 66' Luis Riokha 2:1 71' Gvido Rodriges 3:1 90+7' Nakazaniya Sesar Tarrega 63' Unay Nunes 65' Andreas Kristensen 70' Mark Bernal 79' VAR Mark Bernal 77'

Valensiya Barcelona 37 Games 37 12 Wins 31 10 Draws 1 15 Losses 5 43 Scored 94 54 Conceded 33 46 Points 94 86.47 Attacks 117.42 40.17 Dangerous attacks 64.06 0 Big chances 0 11.32 Shots on goal 18.32 3.16 Udary v stvor 6.89 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.05 Uglovye 6.84 1.76 Offsaydy 2.22 12.08 Foly 9.43 48.32 % vladeniya myachom 68.7 1.84 Warnings 1.49 0.08 Sendoffs 0.05 Goly Robert Levandovski Ferran Torres 0:1 61' Khavi Gerra 1 66' Luis Riokha 2:1 71' Gvido Rodriges 3:1 90+7' Nakazaniya Sesar Tarrega 63' Unay Nunes 65' Andreas Kristensen 70' Mark Bernal 79' VAR Mark Bernal 77'