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La Liga
La Liga Spain
10.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Elche

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Elche January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.18 / 2 3.69
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 44.1% / X 30.0% / Elche 25.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 44.2%
X 30.0%
2 25.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 42.2%
Under 2.5 57.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.16 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.71 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.51 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.19 45.7%
X 3.29 30.4%
3.75 26.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.78 26.5% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Valencia
L D L D D
03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:4 SeltaSelta
19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
13.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
07.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 SevillaSevilla
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Elche
L W L W L
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 MallorcaMallorca
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 3:0 GironaGirona
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 GetafeGetafe
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Elche

Valencia
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history