La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Girona

Spain Futbol
Valencia
Valencia
2 : 0
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Girona 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 3.23 / 2 2.86
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 35.8% / X 30.2% / Girona 34.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 35.8%
X 30.1%
2 34.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 44.9%
Under 2.5 55.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Girona

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 2.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.72 36.8%
Х 3.23 31.0%
П2 2.86 35.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.52 65.8%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.46 68.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.16 46.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.88 53.2%
П2 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Valencia
L
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Girona
L W
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:4 BarselonaBarselona
01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:0 SevillaSevilla
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Girona

Valencia
0 matches total
Girona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history