La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Las Palmas

Spain Futbol
Valencia
Valencia
2 : 3
Finished
Las Palmas
Las Palmas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Las Palmas 21 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.39 / 2 4.65
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 50.5% / X 28.6% / Las Palmas 20.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 50.5%
X 28.6%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 41.0%
Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Las Palmas

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.65 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 1.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.96 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.92 52.1%
Х 3.39 29.5%
П2 4.65 21.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.96 51.0%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.36 42.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
П2 3.32 30.1%
Match center
Valencia
D L D W L
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 Leganes
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 GironaGirona
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Las Palmas
L L D L L
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 0:1 SeltaSelta
30.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 2:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Las Palmas

Valencia
0 matches total
Las Palmas
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history