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La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.12.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction
19.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Mallorca

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 1
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Mallorca December 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.21 / 2 4.10
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 47.1% / X 29.7% / Mallorca 23.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 47.1%
X 29.7%
2 23.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 39.0%
Under 2.5 61.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.07 48.3%
X 3.24 30.9%
4.22 23.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
3.95 25.3% 4.15 24.1% 4.26 23.5% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Valencia
L D D W D
13.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
07.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 SevillaSevilla
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 LevanteLevante
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Mallorca
W D D L W
13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 3:1 ElcheElche
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 OviedoOviedo
29.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 GetafeGetafe
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Mallorca

Valencia
0 matches total
Mallorca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history