La Liga
La Liga Spain
01.03.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Osasuna

Spain Futbol
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 0
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Osasuna 1 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.44 / X 3.07 / 2 3.16
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 38.9% / X 30.9% / Osasuna 30.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 39.0%
X 31.0%
2 30.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.4%
Under 2.5 58.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.03.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.16 market consensus · line only
X 3.08 market consensus · line only
1 2.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.49 40.2%
Х 3.13 32.0%
П2 3.26 30.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5%
Х 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.21 31.2% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 3.05 32.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Valencia
L W L L W
22.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
15.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 ЛевантеЛеванте
08.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:2 EspanyolEspanyol
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Osasuna
W D W D W
21.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
13.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:0 ЭльчеЭльче
06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 SeltaSelta
31.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 VillarrealVillarreal
24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Osasuna

Valencia
2 matches total
Osasuna
Valencia: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Osasuna: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Osasuna 0:1 (24.08 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 24.08 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (24.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia
0:1
Osasuna
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia
0:0
Osasuna