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La Liga Spain

36 round 14.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

14.05.2026 17:00 UTC 36 round

Finished

La Liga

Valencia - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football

Valencia

1 : 1

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Rayo Vallecano May 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.22 / X 3.10 / 2 3.60
1X2 market: Valencia 42.8% / X 30.7% / Rayo Vallecano 26.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 42.9%

X 30.7%

2 26.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%

Over 2.5 42.8%

Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Valencia

Main outcome Valencia

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 41.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Mestalya (Valensiya, Spain), 45 851 zritel (83% pri vmestimosti 55 000)

Referee Alekhandro Kintero Gonsales (Uelva)

Start 14.05.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Valencia - Rayo Vallecano

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Valensiya - Rayo Valekano, 14 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 36 round. Valensiya - Rayo Valekano, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 14

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

6' 6' Yellow Card | R. Saravia Renzo Saravia Valencia

20' 20' Normal Goal | Florian Lejeune | assist/sub out: Gerard Gumbau F. Lejeune Rayo Vallecano

32' 32' Substitution 1 | R. Saravia | assist/sub out: Unai NGєG±ez Renzo Saravia Valencia

40' 40' Normal Goal | Diego López | assist/sub out: Javi Guerra D. Lopez Valencia

56' 56' Yellow Card | Randy Nteka R. Nteka Rayo Vallecano

60' 60' Substitution 2 | Randy Nteka | assist/sub out: Alemão R. Nteka Rayo Vallecano

60' 60' Substitution 1 | Randy Nteka | assist/sub out: Alemão R. Nteka Rayo Vallecano

60' 60' Substitution 3 | Óscar Valentín | assist/sub out: Pathé Ismaël Ciss Óscar Valentín Rayo Vallecano

Metric Valencia Rayo Vallecano SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.76 1.16 final

Zablokirovannye udary 5 2 final

Shots off target 4 1 final

Shots on target 3 3 final

Udary vsego 12 6 final

Fouls soversheno 9 20 final

Zheltye kartochki 1 1 final

Offsides 1 2 final

Valencia #1 S. Dimitrievski, #8 J. Guerra, #11 L. Rioja, #14 J. Gaya, #2 G. Rodriguez, #9 H. Duro, #24 E. Comert, #5 C. Tarrega, #18 Pepelu, #16 D. Lopez, #20 Renzo Saravia

Rayo Vallecano #3 Pep Chavarría, #11 R. Nteka, #13 A. Batalla, #15 Gumbau, #22 A. Espino, #4 Pedro Díaz, #23 Óscar Valentín, #32 N. Mendy, #21 Fran Pérez, #24 F. Lejeune, #20 I. Balliu

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Batalla Rayo Vallecano football.player.assists 0

A. Batalla Rayo Vallecano football.player.minutes_played 90

A. Espino Rayo Vallecano football.player.assists 0

A. Espino Rayo Vallecano football.player.minutes_played 90

A. Rațiu Rayo Vallecano football.player.assists 0

A. Rațiu Rayo Vallecano football.player.minutes_played 17

Alemão Rayo Vallecano football.player.assists 0

Alemão Rayo Vallecano football.player.minutes_played 30

F. Lejeune Rayo Vallecano football.player.assists 0

F. Lejeune Rayo Vallecano football.player.goals 1

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

2 3.60 market consensus · line only

1 2.22 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 7.10 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.92 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 7.10 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.24 44.6%	2.24 44.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%
	3.45 29.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.81 55.3%	1.86 53.8%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.89 52.9%	1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.73 57.8%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.09 91.7%	1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75	—	1.08 92.6%
Over 1.0	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 1.25	—	1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5	1.40 71.4%	1.38 72.5%
Over 1.75	—	1.49 67.1%
Over 2.0	—	1.65 60.6%
Over 2.25	—	2.00 50.0%
Over 2.5	2.20 45.5%	—
Over 3.5	4.00 25.0%	—
Over 4.5	8.00 12.5%	—
Under 0.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 1.5	2.90 34.5%	—
Under 2.5	1.65 60.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.22 82.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.07 93.5%	—

Match center

Valencia

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Rayo Vallecano

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Muktar Dyakabi Dimitri Fulke Khose Kopete Travmirovannye Luis Felipe Ilyas Akhomash Diskvalifitsirovannye Isi Palason CHAMP

Match center

Valencia

W L W D L

10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Athletic Club

02.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:2 Atletiko Madrid

25.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 2:1 Girona

21.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Mallorca

11.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:1 Elche

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Rayo Vallecano

D W D W L

11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Girona

03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 2:0 Getafe

26.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:3 Real Sociedad

23.04 18:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Espanyol

12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 0:3 Mallorca

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Rayo Vallecano

Valencia

2 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Valencia: 0 (0%)

Draws:2 (100%)

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 01.12 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (01.12 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.12 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Valencia

1:1

Rayo Vallecano

19.04 12:00 UTC

La Liga

Valencia

1:1

Rayo Vallecano

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Valencia

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Rayo Vallecano

35 Games 35

11 Wins 10

9 Draws 13

15 Losses 12

38 Scored 36

50 Conceded 42

42 Points 43

85.59 Attacks 94.41

40.44 Dangerous attacks 46.62

0 Big chances 0

11.26 Shots on goal 13.74

3.09 Shots on target 4.74

Sendoffs 0.26 Goly Floryan Lezhen Kherard Gumbau 0:1 20' Diego Lopes Khavi Gerra 1 40' Nezabitye penalti Randi Ntekya 8' Nakazaniya Renso Saraviya 6' Randi Ntekya 56'

Valensiya Rayo Valekano 35 Games 35 11 Wins 10 9 Draws 13 15 Losses 12 38 Scored 36 50 Conceded 42 Points 43 85.59 Attacks 94.41 40.44 Dangerous attacks 46.62 0 Big chances 0 11.26 Shots on goal 13.74 3.09 Udary v stvor 4.74 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.14 Uglovye 5.97 1.74 Offsaydy 2.09 12.2 Foly 13.34 48.31 % vladeniya myachom 53.69 1.91 Warnings 2.69 0.06 Sendoffs 0.26 Goly Floryan Lezhen Kherard Gumbau 0:1 20' Diego Lopes Khavi Gerra 1 40' Nezabitye penalti Randi Ntekya 8' Nakazaniya Renso Saraviya 6' Randi Ntekya 56'