Match center
Start
16.08.2025 19:30 UTC
16.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Valencia - Real Sociedad
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Valencia - Real Sociedad 16 августа 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.
Line favourite Fonbet: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.45 / X 3.10 / 2 3.30
- 1X2 market: Valencia 39.5% / X 31.2% / Real Sociedad 29.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
39.5%
X
31.2%
2
29.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5
38.8%
Under 2.5
61.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Valencia - Real Sociedad
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.30
Fonbet · line only
X
3.10
Fonbet · line only
1
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.55
Fonbet · line only
12
1.37
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.58
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.22
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
3.18
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.07
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.48 40.3% |
| Х | 3.07 32.6% |
| П2 | 3.34 29.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.44 41.0% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.47 40.5% |
| Х | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.22 31.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| П2 | 3.15 31.8% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betway |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.53 65.4% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.55 64.5% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_draw | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% |
Match center
Valencia
D
L
L
W
W
23.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Valencia
1:1
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
18.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Valencia
0:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
14.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Valencia
0:1
Alaves
Alaves
10.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Valencia
3:0
Getafe
Getafe
03.05 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Valencia
3:2
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
7
Points
Real Sociedad
L
W
L
L
D
24.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
18.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:2
Girona
Girona
13.05 18:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:1
Selta
Selta
10.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:4
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
04.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyValencia - Real Sociedad
Valencia
1
matches total
Valencia: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Sociedad: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Real Sociedad 0:3 (28.09 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (0:3, 28.09 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
28.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Valencia
0:3
Real Sociedad