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La Liga
La Liga Spain
11.04.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
11.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Sevilla

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 0
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Sevilla April 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.17 / X 3.24 / 2 3.86
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 44.8% / X 30.0% / Sevilla 25.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 44.8%
X 30.0%
2 25.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 41.8%
Under 2.5 58.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 2.17 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.75 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.17 46.1%
X 3.24 30.9%
3.86 25.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.75 57.1%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 2.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.51 66.2%
2.69 37.2%
Match center
Valencia
W D L D L
05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 GetafeGetafe
21.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:3 Las PalmasLas Palmas
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 Leganes
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Sevilla
L W L W D
06.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:5 BarselonaBarselona
06.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Real BetisReal Betis
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Sevilla

Valencia
0 matches total
Sevilla
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history