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La Liga
La Liga Spain
07.12.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction
07.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Sevilla

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
1 : 1
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Sevilla December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.42 / 2 3.82
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 47.1% / X 27.9% / Sevilla 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 47.1%
X 27.9%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 45.0%
Under 2.5 55.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.61 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.03 49.3%
X 3.52 28.4%
3.98 25.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%
3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.94 51.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Valencia
D W D L L
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:0 LevanteLevante
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
01.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Sevilla
L L W L L
30.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real BetisReal Betis
24.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
08.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
01.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Sevilla

Valencia
1 matches total
Sevilla
Valencia: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Valencia 1:0 (11.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 11.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia
1:0
Sevilla