La Liga Spain

18.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction

18.05.2025 17:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Valladolid - Alaves

Spain Futbol

Valladolid

0 : 1

Finished

Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valladolid - Alaves 18 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.86 / X 3.82 / 2 1.65
1X2 market: Valladolid 16.4% / X 25.2% / Alaves 58.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 16.4%

X 25.2%

2 58.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%

Over 2.5 45.6%

Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC

Match center

Valladolid - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.65 market consensus · line only

X 3.82 market consensus · line only

1 5.86 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.16 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 2.35 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	5.86 17.1%
Х	3.82 26.2%
П2	1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.16 86.2%
home_away	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	2.35 42.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.12 47.2%
ТМ 2.5	1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	4.43 22.6%
П2	1.24 80.7%

Match center

Valladolid

L L L L L

13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Valladolid 0:1 Girona

10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Valladolid 1:2 Mallorca

03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valladolid 1:2 Barselona

24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Valladolid 1:5 Реал Бетис

20.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Valladolid 2:3 Osasuna

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.6 Conceded

0 Points

Alaves

W L D W D

14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:0 Valencia

11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 0:1 Athletic Club

03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 0:0 Atletiko Madrid

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:0 Real Sociedad

20.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Sevilla

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.6 Scored

0.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValladolid - Alaves

Valladolid

1 matches total

Alaves

Valladolid: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Alaves: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Valladolid 3:2 (18.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 18.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

18.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Valladolid

3:2

Alaves