La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Futbol
Valladolid
Valladolid
1 : 2
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano 5 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.56 / X 3.01 / 2 2.41
  • 1X2 market: Valladolid 27.3% / X 32.3% / Rayo Vallecano 40.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 27.3%
X 32.3%
2 40.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Valladolid - Rayo Vallecano

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 3.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.56 28.1%
Х 3.01 33.2%
П2 2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.33 75.2%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.63 61.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.55 64.5%
ТМ 1.5 2.60 38.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.41 41.5%
П2 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Valladolid
L L D L
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 1:2 MallorcaMallorca
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 1:2 SevillaSevilla
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 0:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 1:3 SeltaSelta
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Rayo Vallecano
D D D W
28.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Leganes
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 GironaGirona
22.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
16.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points