La Liga
La Liga Spain
21.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valladolid - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Valladolid
Valladolid
0 : 0
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valladolid - Real Sociedad 21 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.71 / X 3.03 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Valladolid 26.2% / X 32.1% / Real Sociedad 41.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 26.2%
X 32.1%
2 41.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2024 12:00 UTC
Match center

Valladolid - Real Sociedad

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · line only
X 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 3.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.71 27.0%
Х 3.03 33.0%
П2 2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.31 76.3%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.66 60.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.56 64.1%
ТМ 1.5 2.56 39.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.51 39.8%
П2 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Valladolid
L
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 1:3 SeltaSelta
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Real Sociedad
L L D
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.09 17:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 GetafeGetafe
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValladolid - Real Sociedad

Valladolid
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history