PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
10.01.2026 15:15 UTC Match prediction
10.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Alaves

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
3 : 1
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Alaves January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.35 / 2 7.30
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 65.1% / X 21.9% / Alaves 13.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 65.1%
X 21.9%
2 13.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 10.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.33 market consensus · line only
X 4.34 market consensus · line only
1 1.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.15 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.48 67.6%
X 4.29 23.3%
7.76 12.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.45 22.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.00 25.0%
7.50 13.3% 7.00 14.3% 7.16 14.0% 7.00 14.3% 7.20 13.9% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.16 46.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.13 47.0% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 2.70 37.0% 2.74 36.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.74 36.5% 2.81 35.6%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Villarreal
W L W W W
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 ElcheElche
21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 GetafeGetafe
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Alaves
D L L W L
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 OviedoOviedo
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:3 OsasunaOsasuna
14.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
06.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
29.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Alaves

Villarreal
0 matches total
Alaves
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history