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La Liga Spain

27.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction

27.09.2025 19:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Villarreal - Athletic Club

Spain Football

Villarreal

1 : 0

Finished

Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Athletic Club September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.31 / 2 3.81
1X2 market: Villarreal 46.0% / X 28.9% / Athletic Club 25.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 46.0%

X 28.9%

2 25.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%

Over 2.5 46.6%

Under 2.5 53.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.09.2025 19:00 UTC

Match center

Villarreal - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.81 market consensus · line only

X 3.31 market consensus · line only

1 2.08 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.76 market consensus · line only

12 1.34 market consensus · line only

1X 1.28 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.79 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.37 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.63 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.96 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.11 47.4%
X	3.32 30.1%
	3.90 25.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.06 48.5%	2.09 47.9%	2.13 47.0%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.35 29.9%	3.44 29.1%	3.25 30.8%	3.35 29.9%	3.30 30.3%
	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.91 25.6%	3.75 26.7%	3.95 25.3%	3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.95 51.3%	2.03 49.3%	1.96 51.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.94 51.6%	2.01 49.8%	1.95 51.3%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.78 56.2%	1.83 54.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.79 55.9%	1.75 57.1%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%	1.38 72.5%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Villarreal

W W L D W

23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Sevilla

20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Osasuna

13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 0:2 Atletiko Madrid

31.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:1 Selta

24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 5:0 Girona

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

10 Points

Athletic Club

D L L W W

23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:1 Girona

20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:2 Valencia

13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:1 Alaves

31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Real Betis

25.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:0 Rayo Vallecano

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Athletic Club

Villarreal

1 matches total

Athletic Club

Villarreal: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Athletic Club: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.04 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.04 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Villarreal

0:0

Athletic Club