Match center
Start
22.09.2024 16:30 UTC
22.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Villarreal - Barcelona
1
:
5
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Villarreal - Barcelona 22 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.79 / X 4.02 / 2 1.93
- 1X2 market: Villarreal 25.6% / X 24.1% / Barcelona 50.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
25.6%
X
24.1%
2
50.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Villarreal - Barcelona
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.93
market consensus · line only
X
4.02
market consensus · line only
1
3.79
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.30
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.95
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.79 26.4% |
| Х | 4.02 24.9% |
| П2 | 1.93 51.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.14 46.7% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.86 35.0% |
| П2 | 1.46 68.5% |
Match center
Villarreal
W
14.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Barcelona
W
15.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
4:1
Girona
Girona
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Barcelona
Villarreal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals