Match center
Start
21.12.2025 15:15 UTC
21.12.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Villarreal - Barcelona
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Villarreal - Barcelona 21 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.90 / X 4.42 / 2 1.77
- 1X2 market: Villarreal 24.4% / X 21.6% / Barcelona 54.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 70.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
24.5%
X
21.6%
2
53.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5
70.4%
Under 2.5
29.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Villarreal - Barcelona
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.77
market consensus · line only
X
4.43
market consensus · line only
1
3.90
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.26
market consensus · line only
12
1.21
market consensus · line only
1X
2.08
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.31
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.07
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.24
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.34
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.19
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.96
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.37
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.90 25.6% |
| Х | 4.57 21.9% |
| П2 | 1.79 55.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.85 26.0% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.16 24.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% |
| Х | 4.33 23.1% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.57 21.9% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.55 22.0% |
| П2 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.90 34.5% | 3.15 31.8% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.90 34.5% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.89 34.6% | 3.13 32.0% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.23 81.3% |
| home_draw | 2.05 48.8% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.12 47.2% |
Match center
Villarreal
W
W
W
W
W
06.12 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:0
Getafe
Getafe
30.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
3:2
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
22.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
08.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:0
Espanyol
Espanyol
01.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
4:0
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.6
Scored
0.6
Conceded
15
Points
Barcelona
W
W
W
W
W
13.12 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
2:0
Osasuna
Osasuna
06.12 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
5:3
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
02.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
29.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
3:1
Alaves
Alaves
22.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Barcelona
4:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
15
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Barcelona
Villarreal
2
matches total
Villarreal: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Barselona 1:5 (22.09 16:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (1:5, 22.09 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
18.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Villarreal
3:2
Barselona
22.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Villarreal
1:5
Barselona