La Liga Spain

27.04.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction

27.04.2025 14:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Villarreal - Espanyol

Spain Futbol

Villarreal

1 : 0

Finished

Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Espanyol 27 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.80 / 2 6.44
1X2 market: Villarreal 64.7% / X 20.2% / Espanyol 15.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%

1 64.7%

X 20.2%

2 15.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%

Over 2.5 56.5%

Under 2.5 43.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.04.2025 14:15 UTC

Match center

Villarreal - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.44 market consensus · line only

X 4.80 market consensus · line only

1 1.50 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.79 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.15 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.50 66.7%
Х	4.80 20.8%
П2	6.44 15.5%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.79 35.8%
home_away	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.71 58.5%
ТМ 2.5	2.22 45.1%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.19 84.0%
П2	5.14 19.5%

Match center

Villarreal

L D W D W

23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 0:3 Selta

20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:2 Real Sociedad

13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Реал Бетис

06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 0:0 Athletic Club

26.10 12:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Valladolid

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Espanyol

D W W W L

22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:1 Valencia

18.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:0 Getafe

12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:0 Selta

04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 4:0 Rayo Vallecano

25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:2 Sevilla

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Espanyol

Villarreal

1 matches total

Espanyol

Villarreal: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Espanyol: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Villarreal 2:1 (26.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 26.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

26.09 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Villarreal

2:1

Espanyol