La Liga
La Liga Spain
09.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Espanyol

Spain Futbol
Villarreal
Villarreal
4 : 1
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Espanyol 9 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.71 / X 3.97 / 2 4.70
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 55.6% / X 24.1% / Espanyol 20.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 55.7%
X 24.0%
2 20.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Under 2.5 47.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.97 market consensus · line only
1 1.71 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.27 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.71 58.5%
Х 4.10 24.4%
П2 4.88 20.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.71 58.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
Х 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.11 24.3% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4%
П2 4.40 22.7% 4.70 21.3% 4.77 21.0% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 2.06 48.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Villarreal
D L L W W
31.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
17.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 AlavesAlaves
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 ЭльчеЭльче
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Espanyol
L L L D L
30.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 AlavesAlaves
24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:3 ValenciaValencia
16.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 GironaGirona
11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Espanyol

Villarreal
3 matches total
Espanyol
Villarreal: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Villarreal 2:0 (08.11 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 26.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 5

Match history

08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
2:0
Espanyol
27.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
1:0
Espanyol
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Espanyol