La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Getafe

Spain Futbol
Villarreal
Villarreal
1 : 1
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Getafe 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.49 / 2 4.85
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 52.2% / X 27.8% / Getafe 20.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 52.2%
X 27.8%
2 20.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 42.2%
Under 2.5 57.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.85 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.02 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.86 53.8%
Х 3.49 28.7%
П2 4.85 20.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.02 49.5%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.30 43.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.68 59.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.34 74.6%
П2 3.51 28.5%
Match center
Villarreal
L W W L W
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
30.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
22.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:5 BarselonaBarselona
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
9 Points
Getafe
D W L D L
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:0 AlavesAlaves
25.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 BarselonaBarselona
22.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 Leganes
18.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Getafe

Villarreal
0 matches total
Getafe
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history