La Liga
La Liga Spain
06.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Getafe

Spain Futbol
Villarreal
Villarreal
2 : 0
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Getafe 6 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.69 / 2 5.85
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 57.8% / X 25.8% / Getafe 16.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 57.8%
X 25.9%
2 16.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.38 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.71 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.64 61.0%
Х 3.78 26.5%
П2 6.23 16.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%
Х 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
П2 6.00 16.7% 6.20 16.1% 5.91 16.9% 5.50 18.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Villarreal
W W W W W
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 ValenciaValencia
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
15 Points
Getafe
W L L W W
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 ЭльчеЭльче
23.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
31.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 2:1 GironaGirona
25.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Getafe

Villarreal
1 matches total
Getafe
Villarreal: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 20.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
1:1
Getafe