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La Liga Spain

24.08.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

24.08.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Villarreal - Girona

Spain Football

Villarreal

5 : 0

Finished

Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Girona August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.45 / 2 6.33
1X2 market: Villarreal 63.5% / X 21.4% / Girona 15.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 63.5%

X 21.4%

2 15.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 56.6%

Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 24.08.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Villarreal - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.33 market consensus · line only

X 4.47 market consensus · line only

1 1.50 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.58 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.64 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.05 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.98 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.51 66.2%
X	4.70 21.3%
	6.40 15.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.51 66.2%	1.46 68.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%
X	4.40 22.7%	4.60 21.7%	4.66 21.5%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.50 22.2%
	5.90 17.0%	6.90 14.5%	6.45 15.5%	6.00 16.7%	6.50 15.4%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.94 51.6%	2.04 49.0%
yes	1.77 56.5%	1.81 55.3%	1.77 56.5%	1.73 57.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.50 40.0%	2.63 38.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.60 38.5%	2.65 37.7%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Villarreal

W W W W W

15.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:0 Oviedo

25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 4:2 Sevilla

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 3:2 Barselona

14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 3:0 Leganes

10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:0 Girona

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

15 Points

Girona

L L L W L

15.08 17:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:3 Rayo Vallecano

25.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 0:4 Atletiko Madrid

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 2:3 Real Sociedad

13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:0 Valladolid

10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Girona 0:1 Villarreal

1 Wins

0 Draws

4 Losses

0.8 Scored

2.2 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Girona

Villarreal

1 matches total

Girona

Villarreal: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Girona: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Villarreal 1:0 (10.05 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 10.05 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

10.05 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Villarreal

1:0

Girona