La Liga
La Liga Spain
30.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Las Palmas

Spain Futbol
Villarreal
Villarreal
3 : 1
Finished
Las Palmas
Las Palmas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Las Palmas 30 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 5.30 / 2 7.63
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 69.1% / X 18.3% / Las Palmas 12.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 69.1%
X 18.2%
2 12.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Las Palmas

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.63 market consensus · line only
X 5.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.40 71.4%
Х 5.30 18.9%
П2 7.63 13.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.18 31.5%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.22 45.1%
ТМ 3.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.15 87.0%
П2 6.08 16.5%
Match center
Villarreal
W L W
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
22.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:5 BarselonaBarselona
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
2.3 Conceded
6 Points
Las Palmas
D L L L
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 1:2 OsasunaOsasuna
15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 2:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Las Palmas 0:2 AlavesAlaves
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Las Palmas

Villarreal
0 matches total
Las Palmas
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history