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La Liga
La Liga Spain
34 round 02.05.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
02.05.2026 12:00 UTC 34 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Levante

Spain Football
Stadium Estadio de la Ceramica
Capacity 24 500
Villarreal
Villarreal
5 : 1
Finished
Levante
Levante
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Villarreal — 56%

1 · Villarreal ✓ Pick55.9%
X · draw22.9%
2 · Levante21.3%

Model estimate: win Villarreal 55.9%, draw 22.9%, win Levante 21.3%. Model favourite — Villarreal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Levante May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Strongest: Villarreal - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.14 / 2 4.40
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 55.6% / X 22.9% / Levante 21.6%
  • Glicko: Villarreal 55.9% / X 22.9% / Levante 21.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 83.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Pick 55.6%
X 22.9%
2 21.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 61.5%
Under 2.5 38.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 56.1%
Total Over 2.5
Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Stadium Keramika (Vilyarreal, Spain), 16 169 zriteley (66% pri vmestimosti 24 500)
Referee Alekhandro Ernandes (Santa-Krus-de-Tenerife)
Start 02.05.2026 12:00 UTC
Capacity 24,500
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Villarreal 56%
💹 Market Villarreal 5557%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Villarreal - Levante

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Vilyarreal - Levante, 2 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 34 round. Vilyarreal - Levante, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:1
Events 19
Statistics 24
Lineups 46
min Event Player Team
30' 30' Substitution 1 | Carlos Álvarez | assist/sub out: Iker Losada Carlos Álvarez Levante
38' 38' Normal Goal | G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze Villarreal
45' 45' Yellow Card | K. Arriaga K. Arriaga Levante
45+4' 45+4' Yellow Card | Dani Parejo Dani Parejo Villarreal
46' 46' Substitution 2 | Iván Romero | assist/sub out: K. Tunde I. Romero Levante
51' 51' Normal Goal | Carlos Espí | assist/sub out: Pablo Martínez Carlos Espí Levante
55' 55' Yellow Card | R. Veiga R. Veiga Villarreal
62' 62' Normal Goal | Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro Villarreal
Metric Villarreal Levante SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 2.36 0.76 final
Zablokirovannye udary 4 4 final
Shots off target 8 5 final
Shots on target 8 3 final
Udary vsego 20 12 final
Fouls soversheno 14 7 final
Zheltye kartochki 3 1 final
Offsides 3 0 final
Villarreal #9 G. Mikautadze, #20 Alberto Moleiro, #24 Pedraza, #25 Arnau Tenas, #7 Gerard Moreno, #10 Dani Parejo, #12 R. Veiga, #6 Pau Navarro, #14 Santi ComesaG±a, #3 A. Freeman, #19 N. PG©pG©
Levante #6 D. Varela Pampin, #9 I. Romero, #13 Mathew Ryan, #16 K. Arriaga, #19 Carlos Espí, #3 A. Matturro, #8 J. A. Olasagasti, #2 M. Moreno, #10 P. Martinez, #22 J. Toljan, #24 Carlos Álvarez
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Freeman Villarreal Dribling popytki 4
A. Freeman Villarreal Dribling uspeshno 1
A. Freeman Villarreal Edinoborstva vyigrano 6
A. Freeman Villarreal Fouls soversheno 1
A. Freeman Villarreal Fouls na igroke 1
A. Freeman Villarreal Seyvy 0
A. Freeman Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 94
A. Freeman Villarreal Klyuchevye pasy 52
A. Freeman Villarreal Reyting (staryy) 7
A. Freeman Villarreal Bloki 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Villarreal 56.0% 55.9% market and model agree
Draw 22.6% 22.9% draw risk
Levante 21.3% 21.3%
xG - 1.83 : 1.04
Total 2.5 Over 83.0% - Under 17.0%
Model check - - Difference 0.00
The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.00

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 55.9% / 22.9% / 21.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,624 / 1,459 Villarreal / Levante
RD 73 / 74 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 market consensus · no value · model 21.3%
X 4.14 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.70 market consensus · no value · model 55.9%
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · no value · model 44.1%
12 1.21 market consensus · no value · model 77.1%
1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 78.7%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.02 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · value +26.9% · model 83.0%
Under 2.5 2.44 market consensus · no value · model 17.0%
Both teams to score
No 2.35 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.36 22.9% 3.90 25.6% 4.35 23.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8%
4.33 23.1% 4.67 21.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.55 22.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.36 42.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.75 — 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.0 — 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5% —
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6% —
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8% —
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5% —
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1% —
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1% —
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7% —
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7% —
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0% —
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5% —
Match center
Villarreal
Founded 1923
Levante
Founded 1909
Match center
Villarreal

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Levante

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Khuan Foyt Pau Kabanes Travmirovannye Unay Elkhesabal Adrian De La Fuente Alekhandro Primo
Villarreal Founded: 1923
Levante Founded: 1909
Match center
Villarreal
W D W L W
26.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 SeltaSelta
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:1 OviedoOviedo
12.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:1 GironaGirona
20.03 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Levante
D W W L W
27.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:0 SevillaSevilla
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:0 GetafeGetafe
04.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:2 OviedoOviedo
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Levante

Villarreal
1 matches total
Levante
Villarreal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Levante: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Villarreal 1:0 (18.02 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 18.02 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

18.02 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
1:0
Levante
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Villarreal
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Levante
Villarreal Team comparison Levante
33 Games 33
20 Wins 8
5 Draws 9
8 Losses 16
59 Scored 37
38 Conceded 50
65 Points 33
80.7 Attacks 82.56
41.5 Dangerous attacks 39.16
0 Big chances 0
11.67 Shots on goal 10.76
4.55 Shots on target 3.48
ya 2.27 0.09 Sendoffs 0.12 Goly Zhorzh Mikautadze 1:0 38' Karlos Espi Pablo Martines 1 51' Alberto Moleyro Santyago Komesanya 2:1 62' Zhorzh Mikautadze Nikolya Pepe 3:1 68' Teydzhon Byukenen Nikolya Pepe 4:1 87' Nikolya Pepe Serkhi Kardona 5:1 90' Nakazaniya Kervin Arriaga 45' Dani Parekho 45+4' Renatu Veyga 55' Tomas Parti 88'

Vilyarreal Levante 33 Games 33 20 Wins 8 5 Draws 9 8 Losses 16 59 Scored 37 38 Conceded 50 65 Points 33 80.7 Attacks 82.56 41.5 Dangerous attacks 39.16 0 Big chances 0 11.67 Shots on goal 10.76 4.55 Udary v stvor 3.48 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.88 Uglovye 3.91 1.94 Offsaydy 1.73 12.24 Foly 12.79 43.64 % vladeniya myachom 42.55 2.15 Warnings 2.27 0.09 Sendoffs 0.12 Goly Zhorzh Mikautadze 1:0 38' Karlos Espi Pablo Martines 1 51' Alberto Moleyro Santyago Komesanya 2:1 62' Zhorzh Mikautadze Nikolya Pepe 3:1 68' Teydzhon Byukenen Nikolya Pepe 4:1 87' Nikolya Pepe Serkhi Kardona 5:1 90' Nakazaniya Kervin Arriaga 45' Dani Parekho 45+4' Renatu Veyga 55' Tomas Parti 88'