La Liga
La Liga Spain
22.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Mallorca

Spain Futbol
Villarreal
Villarreal
2 : 1
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Mallorca 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 4.98 / 2 7.84
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 68.7% / X 19.2% / Mallorca 12.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 68.7%
X 19.2%
2 12.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 58.9%
Under 2.5 41.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.86 market consensus · line only
X 4.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.96 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.40 71.4%
Х 5.12 19.5%
П2 8.08 12.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%
Х 4.90 20.4% 5.20 19.2% 5.23 19.1% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 4.75 21.1%
П2 7.50 13.3% 7.60 13.2% 8.60 11.6% 7.50 13.3% 7.50 13.3% 7.50 13.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.90 34.5% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.22 31.1%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Villarreal
W W W D L
08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 ValenciaValencia
18.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Mallorca
W L D W L
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 GetafeGetafe
02.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
26.10 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 ЛевантеЛеванте
18.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 3:1 SevillaSevilla
04.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Mallorca

Villarreal
1 matches total
Mallorca
Villarreal: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mallorca: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Villarreal 2:1 (14.09 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 14.09 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Mallorca