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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.08.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
15.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Oviedo

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
2 : 0
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Oviedo August 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite Fonbet: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.43 / X 4.60 / 2 9.20
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 68.2% / X 21.2% / Oviedo 10.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.5%
1 68.2%
X 21.2%
2 10.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Oviedo

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.20 Fonbet · line only
X 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.85 Fonbet · line only
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.99 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.05 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.41 70.9%
X 4.82 20.8%
8.81 11.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4%
X 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.84 20.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.65 21.5%
7.20 13.9% 8.00 12.5% 8.70 11.5% 7.50 13.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.75 11.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.85 35.1% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.95 33.9% 2.90 34.5%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Villarreal
W W W W W
25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:2 SevillaSevilla
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:2 BarselonaBarselona
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:0 Leganes
10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:0 GironaGirona
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 4:2 OsasunaOsasuna
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Oviedo

Villarreal
0 matches total
Oviedo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history