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Start
01.11.2025 13:00 UTC
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01.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano November 1, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.
Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.86 / 2 4.95
- 1X2 market: Villarreal 55.6% / X 24.9% / Rayo Vallecano 19.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.9%
1
55.6%
X
24.9%
2
19.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.95
market consensus · line only
X
3.86
market consensus · line only
1
1.73
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.15
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.20
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.68
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
4.50
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.55
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.09
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.71
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 3.84 26.0% |
| 4.96 20.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 4.02 24.9% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.94 25.4% | 3.84 26.0% | 3.84 26.0% |
| 4.90 20.4% | 5.15 19.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.90 20.4% | 4.96 20.2% | 4.96 20.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.22 45.1% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.21 45.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.10 47.6% |
| home_away | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% |
| home_draw | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.18 84.8% |
Match center
Villarreal
W
D
L
W
W
25.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:0
Valencia
Valencia
18.10 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:2
Real Betis
Real Betis
04.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
1:3
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
27.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
1:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
23.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Rayo Vallecano
W
W
W
L
L
26.10 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Alaves
Alaves
19.10 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Levante
Levante
05.10 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
28.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
2:3
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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