Match center
Start
24.01.2026 20:00 UTC
24.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Villarreal - Real Madrid
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Villarreal - Real Madrid 24 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.79 / X 4.01 / 2 1.87
- 1X2 market: Villarreal 25.2% / X 23.8% / Real Madrid 51.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
25.2%
X
23.8%
2
51.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Villarreal - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.87
market consensus · line only
X
4.02
market consensus · line only
1
3.80
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.27
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
1.95
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.44
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.44
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.72
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.73
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.43
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.97 25.2% |
| Х | 4.11 24.3% |
| П2 | 1.87 53.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% |
| Х | 3.95 25.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.17 24.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.95 25.3% |
| П2 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.75 36.4% | 2.79 35.8% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.87 34.8% |
| yes | 1.42 70.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.46 68.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
Match center
Villarreal
L
W
W
L
W
17.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
0:2
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
10.01 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
3:1
Alaves
Alaves
03.01 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
21.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
0:2
Barselona
Barselona
06.12 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:0
Getafe
Getafe
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
L
17.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Леванте
Леванте
04.01 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
5:1
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
20.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Sevilla
Sevilla
14.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Alaves
Alaves
07.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:2
Selta
Selta
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Real Madrid
Villarreal
2
matches total
Villarreal: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Madrid: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 1:3 (04.10 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (1:3, 04.10 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Villarreal
1:3
Real Madrid
05.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Villarreal
0:2
Real Madrid