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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.04.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Villarreal - Real Sociedad

Spain Football
Villarreal
Villarreal
2 : 2
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Real Sociedad April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.74 / X 4.05 / 2 4.81
  • 1X2 market: Villarreal 55.8% / X 24.0% / Real Sociedad 20.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 55.8%
X 24.0%
2 20.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 55.5%
Under 2.5 44.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Villarreal - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.81 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.74 57.5%
X 4.05 24.7%
4.81 20.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.20 45.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 2.5 2.18 45.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.65 27.4%
Match center
Villarreal
W D W D L
13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
26.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 Valladolid
20.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 1:1 GetafeGetafe
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Real Sociedad
L W L W D
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 MallorcaMallorca
06.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
27.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:0 GironaGirona
06.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Real Sociedad

Villarreal
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history