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La Liga Spain

36 round 13.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

13.05.2026 17:00 UTC 36 round

Finished

La Liga

Villarreal - Sevilla

Spain Football

Villarreal

2 : 3

Finished

Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Villarreal - Sevilla May 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.96 / X 3.46 / 2 3.99
1X2 market: Villarreal 48.6% / X 27.5% / Sevilla 23.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 48.6%

X 27.5%

2 23.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%

Over 2.5 51.8%

Under 2.5 48.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Villarreal

Main outcome Villarreal

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 58.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Keramika (Vilyarreal, Spain), 17 325 zriteley (71% pri vmestimosti 24 500)

Referee Mateo Buskets Ferrer (Palma-de-Malorka)

Start 13.05.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Villarreal - Sevilla

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Vilyarreal - Sevilya, 13 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 36 round. Vilyarreal - Sevilya, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:3

Events 16

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

13' 13' Normal Goal | Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno Villarreal

20' 20' Normal Goal | G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze Villarreal

36' 36' Normal Goal | Oso Oso Sevilla

45+2' 45+2' Normal Goal | Kike Salas | assist/sub out: R. Vargas Kike Salas Sevilla

60' 60' Substitution 1 | Pape Gueye | assist/sub out: T. Partey P. Gueye Villarreal

60' 60' Substitution 2 | N. Pepe | assist/sub out: Tajon Buchanan N. Pépé Villarreal

68' 68' Substitution 1 | R. Vargas | assist/sub out: Juanlu Sánchez R. Vargas Sevilla

70' 70' Substitution 3 | Dani Parejo | assist/sub out: Santi ComesaG±a Dani Parejo Villarreal

Metric Villarreal Sevilla SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.83 0.87 final

Zablokirovannye udary 1 5 final

Shots off target 1 3 final

Shots on target 4 5 final

Udary vsego 6 13 final

Fouls soversheno 11 9 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 1 final

Offsides 0 3 final

Villarreal #9 G. Mikautadze, #20 Alberto Moleiro, #24 Pedraza, #25 Arnau Tenas, #7 Gerard Moreno, #12 R. Veiga, #18 P. Gueye, #6 Pau Navarro, #10 Dani Parejo, #3 A. Freeman, #19 N. Pépé

Sevilla #1 O. Vlachodimos, #17 N. Maupay, #20 D. Sow, #36 Oso, #9 A. Adams, #12 G. Suazo, #18 L. Agoumé, #4 Kike Salas, #11 R. Vargas, #3 César Azpilicueta, #2 José Ángel Carmona

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Freeman Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 92

Alberto Moleiro Villarreal football.player.assists 1

Alberto Moleiro Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 92

Arnau Tenas Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 92

Ayoze Pérez Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 22

Dani Parejo Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 70

G. Mikautadze Villarreal football.player.assists 1

G. Mikautadze Villarreal football.player.goals 1

G. Mikautadze Villarreal football.player.minutes_played 70

Gerard Moreno Villarreal football.player.goals 1

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.65 market consensus · line only

X 3.40 market consensus · line only

1 2.09 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.84 market consensus · line only

12 1.29 market consensus · line only

1X 1.25 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.78 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.21 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.09 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.69 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.92 52.1%	1.99 50.3%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%
X	3.45 29.0%	3.56 28.1%	3.50 28.6%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%
	3.85 26.0%	4.32 23.2%	3.75 26.7%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.10 47.6%	2.08 48.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.12 47.2%	2.05 48.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.06 48.5%	2.18 45.9%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.68 59.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.73 57.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.68 59.5%	1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.80 55.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25	—	1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5	1.28 78.1%	1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75	—	1.31 76.3%
Over 2.0	—	1.39 71.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.68 59.5%
Over 2.5	1.83 54.6%	—
Over 3.5	3.00 33.3%	—
Over 4.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 0.5	9.00 11.1%	—
Under 1.5	3.65 27.4%	—
Under 2.5	1.95 51.3%	—
Under 3.5	1.38 72.5%	—
Under 4.5	1.13 88.5%	—

Match center

Villarreal

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sevilla

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Khuan Foyt Travmirovannye Markan Manuel Bueno Isaak Romero

Match center

Villarreal

D W W D W

10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:1 Mallorca

02.05 12:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 5:1 Levante

26.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Selta

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 1:1 Oviedo

12.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Villarreal 2:1 Athletic Club

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

11 Points

Sevilla

W W L L W

09.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:1 Espanyol

04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:0 Real Sociedad

26.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:2 Osasuna

23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 0:2 Levante

11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:1 Atletiko Madrid

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyVillarreal - Sevilla

Villarreal

2 matches total

Sevilla

Villarreal: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Sevilla: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Villarreal 4:2 (25.05 14:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 25.05 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 6

Match history

23.09 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Villarreal

2:1

Sevilla

25.05 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Villarreal

4:2

Sevilla

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Villarreal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Sevilla

35 Games 35

21 Wins 11

6 Draws 7

8 Losses 17

65 Scored 43

40 Conceded 56

69 Points 40

81.5 Attacks 93.03

41.22 Dangerous attacks 43.75

0 Big chances 0

11.77 Shots on goal 11.2

4.57 Shots on target 3.46

daleniya 0.14 Goly Kherar Moreno Zhorzh Mikautadze 1:0 13' Zhorzh Mikautadze Alberto Moleyro 2:0 20' Oso Lyusen Agume 2:1 36' Kike Salas Ruben Vargas 2 45+2' Akor Adams Dzhibril Sou 2:3 72' Nakazaniya Ayose Peres 81' Renatu Veyga 90+2' Khose Ankhel Karmona 90+3'

Vilyarreal Sevilya 35 Games 35 21 Wins 11 6 Draws 7 8 Losses 17 65 Scored 43 40 Conceded 56 69 Points 40 81.5 Attacks 93.03 41.22 Dangerous attacks 43.75 0 Big chances 0 11.77 Shots on goal 11.2 4.57 Udary v stvor 3.46 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.97 Uglovye 4.89 1.91 Offsaydy 2.74 12.31 Foly 14.6 43.91 % vladeniya myachom 51.8 2.11 Warnings 2.83 0.09 Sendoffs 0.14 Goly Kherar Moreno Zhorzh Mikautadze 1:0 13' Zhorzh Mikautadze Alberto Moleyro 2:0 20' Oso Lyusen Agume 2:1 36' Kike Salas Ruben Vargas 2 45+2' Akor Adams Dzhibril Sou 2:3 72' Nakazaniya Ayose Peres 81' Renatu Veyga 90+2' Khose Ankhel Karmona 90+3'