AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Auda. Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Latvia: Cup Latvii
Auda go head-to-head with Grobinas on August 17, 2026 in the Latvia: Cup Latvii.
Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Auda — 57%
Model estimate: win Auda 57.5%, draw 22.5%, win Grobinas 20.0%. Model favourite — Auda.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.59 62.9% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.11 47.4% | |
| X | 2.29 43.7% |
| 5.00 20.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1 | 2.27 44.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.55 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Winline | 1.61 | 3.85 | 4.5 |
| Fonbet | 1.55 | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Betcity | 1.6 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
Auda
BFK Daugavpils
Liepaya
RFSh
Elgava
Grobinas
Full head-to-head history: Auda - Grobinas
The Auda - Grobinas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
August 17, 2026.
