Match center
Start
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished
Latvia: Nakotnes liga Standings
Marupe - FK Smiltene
M
Marupe
2
:
1
Finished
F
FK Smiltene
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🎯 «Confident pick»
1Marupe — 68%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Marupe - FK Smiltene July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Marupe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.10 / 2 7.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.9%
1
70.5%
X
17.8%
2
11.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Marupe - FK Smiltene
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.80
market consensus · line only
X
5.10
market consensus · line only
1
1.29
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.13
market consensus · line only
1X
1.05
market consensus · line only
X2
3.30
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 3.30 30.3% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.07 48.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 56.2% | — | |
| — | 2.71 36.9% | |
| 1.92 52.1% | — | |
| — | 1.41 70.9% |
Team To Score First
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.37 73.0% | |
| X | 19.50 5.1% |
| 3.34 29.9% |
Match center
Marupe
L
Marupe
1:2
JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
FK Smiltene
L
FK Smiltene
0:2
FK Riga 2
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMarupe - FK Smiltene
Marupe
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals