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Latvia. League 1
Latvia. League 1
14.06.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
14.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Latvia. League 1

Marupes - JFK Ventspils

Football
M
Marupes
1 : 2
Finished
JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marupes - JFK Ventspils June 14, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Marupes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 4.10 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 52.5%
X 23.5%
2 24.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.06.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Marupes - JFK Ventspils

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.92 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Bet365 Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7%
Over 3.5 — 2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.16 46.3%
Under 3.5 — 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Leon
1.83 54.6% 1.61 62.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
X 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 3.87 25.8%
3.30 30.3% 4.00 25.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.72 26.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMarupes - JFK Ventspils

Marupes
0 matches total
JFK Ventspils
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history