Match center
Start
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Not started
Latvia: Nakotnes liga Standings
Super Nova 2 - Riga Mariners
-
:
-
Not started
R
Riga Mariners
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Riga Mariners — 55%
Pure model vs market (2 · Riga Mariners): model 39% · market 56% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Super Nova 2 22.8%, draw 22.3%, win Riga Mariners 55.0%. Model favourite — Riga Mariners.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Riga Mariners (odds1.64)
Score 1:2
confidence 55%
- • Model backs Riga Mariners: probability 55% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
- • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Super Nova 2 - Riga Mariners July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Riga Mariners. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.30 / X 4.15 / 2 1.67
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.2%
1
21.7%
X
22.5%
2
55.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Super Nova 2 - Riga Mariners
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Super Nova 2
21.7%
22.8%
Draw
22.3%
22.3%
draw risk
Riga Mariners
56.0%
55.0%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
22.8% / 22.3% / 55.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,518 / 1,623
Super Nova 2 / Riga Mariners
RD
221 / 193
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,075-1,960 / 1,238-2,008
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.64
market consensus · no value · model 55.0%
X
4.13
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.23
market consensus · no value · model 22.8%
Double chance
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 77.7%
1X
2.17
market consensus · no value · model 45.0%
X2
1.18
market consensus · no value · model 77.2%
Handicap
2 0
1.27
market consensus · line only
1 0
3.40
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.48
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.17 46.1% |
| x2 | 1.18 84.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.35 23.0% | |
| X | 2.61 38.3% |
| 2.06 48.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 3.40 29.4% | |
| 1.27 78.7% |
Team To Score First
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.61 38.3% | |
| X | 17.70 5.7% |
| 1.56 64.1% |
Match center
Super Nova 2
D
L
D
L
Super Nova 2
1:1
Alberts
Alberts
Super Nova 2
1:2
FK Riga 2
Super Nova 2
1:1
RFS 2
Super Nova 2
3:7
Metta
0
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.5
Scored
2.8
Conceded
2
Points
Riga Mariners
D
L
W
W
Riga Mariners
1:1
JFK Ventspils
JFK Ventspils
Riga Mariners
1:2
Leevon PPK
Riga Mariners
4:0
Alberts
Alberts
Riga Mariners
2:0
Skanste
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySuper Nova 2 - Riga Mariners
Super Nova 2
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Super Nova 2 - Riga Mariners breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form