Match center
Start
05.07.2026 10:00 UTC
05.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished
Latvia: Nakotnes liga Standings
Valmiera - Leevon PPK
4
:
1
Finished
L
Leevon PPK
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
1Valmiera — 59%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Valmiera - Leevon PPK 5 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Valmiera. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 8.50 / 2 6.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 21.9%
1
76.7%
X
9.7%
2
13.7%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
Valmiera
- Валмиера
- Founded in 1996
- Coach: Гатис Калниньш
Leevon PPK
- Рига
- Founded in 2024
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Valmiera
Well rested- Rest days: 7
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Leevon PPK
No recent matches
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Valmiera - Leevon PPK
Form
1/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.65
market consensus · line only
X
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.04
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X2
6.30
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.95
market consensus · line only
2 0
9.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.76
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.33
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.95
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.57
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.25 44.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 2.60 38.5% | 6.30 15.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.97 50.8% |
| Х | 2.62 38.2% |
| П2 | 4.78 20.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 1.72 58.1% |
Match center
Valmiera
W
Valmiera
4:1
Tukums 2000 2
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyValmiera - Leevon PPK
Valmiera
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals