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Latvia - Premier League
Latvia - Premier League Latvia
06.05.2026 15:00 UTC 11 round
Finished

Latvia - Premier League

Latvia

FK Elgava - SK Super Nova

Latvia Football
FK Elgava
FK Elgava
1 : 0
Finished
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Elgava - SK Super Nova May 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.30 / X 1.38 / 2 7.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 21.3%
X 66.3%
2 12.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.05.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

FK Elgava - SK Super Nova

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Elgava - Super Nova, 6 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Latvii po futbolu (Premier League) 2026, 11 round. Elgava - Super Nova, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.40 Fonbet · line only
X 1.38 Fonbet · line only
1 4.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betfair Betsson Bwin
7.50 13.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.4% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.07 93.5%
X 1.13 88.3% 9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1% 7.00 14.3% 7.25 13.8%
9.50 10.5% 51.00 2.0% 51.00 2.0% 101.00 1.0% 41.00 2.4% 41.00 2.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFK Elgava - SK Super Nova

FK Elgava
0 matches total
SK Super Nova
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 FK Elgava
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 SK Super Nova
FK Elgava Team comparison SK Super Nova
10 Games 10
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 5
7 Scored 11
22 Conceded 15
8 Points 13
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Elgava 20 round Goly Filip Gashek 1:0 82'
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Elgava Super Nova 10 Games 10 2 Wins 4 2 Draws 1 6 Losses 5 7 Scored 11 22 Conceded 15 8 Points 13 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.4 Warnings 0.1 0.1 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 25.06.2026 Latvia — Premier League Super Nova –:– Elgava 20 round Goly Filip Gashek 1:0 82' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Aleksandr Ivanovich Basov Glavnye trenery Maksim Rafalskiy Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 60% 20% 20% Double chance 40% 40% 20% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1301382' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');