Latvia: Virsliga Standings

21 round 30.06.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

30.06.2026 14:00 UTC 21 round

Finished

Latvia: Virsliga Standings

FC Liepaja - Ogre United

Futbol

FC Liepaja

4 : 0

Finished

Ogre United

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FC Liepaja (odds1.29) Score 2:0 (odds6.00) confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Liepaya: probability 65% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.64)
• edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:0 (odds 6.00).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Liepaja - Ogre United June 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Liepaja.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Liepaja. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 4.97 / 2 7.33
1X2 market: FC Liepaja 69.4% / X 18.2% / Ogre United 12.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%

1 69.5%

X 18.2%

2 12.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Virsliga

League table

FC Liepaja

#428 ptsGP 218-4-927:31

WLLLW

Ogre United

#1010 ptsGP 212-4-1519:54

LWLWL

Best price across 12 books

1 1.39 Pinnacle

X 5.40 Dafabet

2 8.25 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

FC Liepaja

W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.90 xG 1.50 xGA 1.47

Ogre United

W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.10 Conceded 3.10 xG 0.85 xGA 2.32

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

FC Liepaja

Rating 1477

Ogre United

Rating 1311

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 30.06.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

FC Liepaja - Ogre United

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Liepaya - Ogre Yunayted, 30 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Latvii po futbolu (Premier League) 2026, 21 round. Liepaya - Ogre Yunayted, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 2/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.33 market consensus · line only

X 7.70 Fonbet · line only

1 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.70 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.85 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.30 76.9%	1.31 76.3%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.30 76.9%
X	5.00 20.0%	5.15 19.4%	4.75 21.1%	4.75 21.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.25 19.1%
	7.20 13.9%	6.95 14.4%	7.00 14.3%	6.90 14.5%	8.50 11.8%	8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.02 98.0%
yes	9.50 10.5%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.04 96.2%
1x	1.01 99.0%
x2	5.70 17.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.50 66.7%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.62 61.7%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.14 87.7%
	5.50 18.2%
	2.45 40.8%
	6.10 16.4%
	2.15 46.5%
	6.00 16.7%
	4.60 21.7%
	11.00 9.1%
	3.80 26.3%
	1.13 88.5%
	1.07 93.5%
	1.04 96.2%
	1.01 99.0%
	10.50 9.5%

Match center

FC Liepaja

L W

26.06 14:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings

FC Liepaja 0:2 RFSh

12.06 14:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings

FC Liepaja 2:1 Super Nova

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

3 Points

Ogre United

26.06 13:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings

Ogre United 3:2 Tukums 2000

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Liepaja - Ogre United

FC Liepaja

0 matches total

Ogre United

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 FC Liepaja

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Ogre United

20 Games 20

7 Wins 2

4 Draws 4

9 Losses 14

23 Scored 19

31 Conceded 50

25 Points 10

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

Liepaya 30 round Goly Fellipe Vieira 1:0 8' Amar Khaydara 2:0 28' Fellipe Vieira 3:0 45+1' Ede Oloko 4:0 63'

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Liepaya Ogre Yunayted 20 Games 20 7 Wins 2 4 Draws 4 9 Losses 14 23 Scored 19 31 Conceded 50 25 Points 10 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.2 Warnings 0.1 0.15 Sendoffs 0.05 Sleduyuschiy match 13.09.2026 Latvia — Premier League Ogre Yunayted –:– Liepaya 30 round Goly Fellipe Vieira 1:0 8' Amar Khaydara 2:0 28' Fellipe Vieira 3:0 45+1' Ede Oloko 4:0 63' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Andreas Gert Alm Glavnye trenery Aleksandr Rekhviashvili Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 62% 20% 18% Double chance 41% 40% 19% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1301264' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');