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Latvia: Virsliga Standings

17 round 12.06.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

12.06.2026 14:00 UTC 17 round

Finished

Latvia: Virsliga Standings

FC Liepaja - Super Nova

Football

FC Liepaja

2 : 1

Finished

Super Nova

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Liepaja - Super Nova June 12, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Liepaja.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Liepaja. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 3.82 / 2 5.08
1X2 market: FC Liepaja 58.5% / X 23.7% / Super Nova 17.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.4%

1 58.4%

X 23.7%

2 17.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Virsliga

League table

FC Liepaja

#425 ptsGP 177-4-623:24

WWDLW

Super Nova

#520 ptsGP 176-2-919:25

LLLWW

Best price across 13 books

1 1.58 Dafabet

X 4.00 Bet365

2 5.67 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

FC Liepaja

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.60 Conceded 1.60 xG 1.58 xGA 1.34

1 -3.58 X +0.10 2 -5.30 1 (DNB) -1.90

Super Nova

W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.00 xGA 1.88

1 -4.73 X -5.50 2 +0.01 1 (DNB) -4.89

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

FC Liepaja

Rating 1528

Super Nova

Rating 1478

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 12.06.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

FC Liepaja - Super Nova

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Liepaya - Super Nova, 12 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Latvii po futbolu (Premier League) 2026, 17 round. Liepaya - Super Nova, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.11 market consensus · line only

X 5.60 Fonbet · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.10 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only

2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.65 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.22 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.60 62.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%
X	3.95 25.3%	3.78 26.5%	4.00 25.0%	3.65 27.4%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%
	4.80 20.8%	5.47 18.3%	5.25 19.1%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	3.65 27.4%
yes	1.22 82.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.10 90.9%
1x	1.02 98.0%
x2	8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.01 99.0%
	1.14 87.7%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.55 64.5%
	7.00 14.3%
	10.50 9.5%
	11.50 8.7%
	11.00 9.1%
	1.02 98.0%
	11.50 8.7%
	4.70 21.3%
	10.50 9.5%
	2.30 43.5%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.02 98.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	1.01 99.0%
	10.00 10.0%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Liepaja - Super Nova

FC Liepaja

0 matches total

Super Nova

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 FC Liepaja

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Super Nova

16 Games 16

6 Wins 6

4 Draws 2

6 Losses 8

21 Scored 18

23 Conceded 23

22 Points 20

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

Liepaya 26 round Goly Valeriy Lizunov 0:1 28' Dzhibril Geye 1 37' Danila Patiychuk 2:1 45+4'

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Liepaya Super Nova 16 Games 16 6 Wins 6 4 Draws 2 6 Losses 8 21 Scored 18 23 Conceded 23 22 Points 20 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.25 Warnings 0.06 0.06 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 09.08.2026 Latvia — Premier League Super Nova –:– Liepaya 26 round Goly Valeriy Lizunov 0:1 28' Dzhibril Geye 1 37' Danila Patiychuk 2:1 45+4' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Andreas Gert Alm Glavnye trenery Maksim Rafalskiy Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 50% 25% 25% Double chance 38% 37% 25% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1301306' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');