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Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Latvia: Virsliga Standings
22 round 03.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
03.07.2026 14:00 UTC 22 round
Finished

Latvia: Virsliga Standings

FK Riga - Elgava

Futbol
F
FK Riga
3 : 0
Finished
E
Elgava
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

1FK Riga — 77%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

💎 «Value»

2Elgava — odds 17.00 · edge +3.4% · 16 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FK Riga - Elgava July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Riga.

Line favourite market consensus: FK Riga. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 7.06 / 2 13.93
  • 1X2 market: FK Riga 80.4% / X 13.0% / Elgava 6.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 80.6%
X 12.9%
2 6.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Virsliga
League table
FK Riga
#252 ptsGP 2116-4-162:19
WDWWW
Elgava
#525 ptsGP 216-7-824:35
WWWLD
Best price across 13 books
1 1.17 Unibet
X 8.00 BetVictor
2 17.00 William Hill

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FK Riga
W-D-L 8-2-0 Scored 2.60 Conceded 0.60 xG 2.59 xGA 0.86
Elgava
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.61 Conceded 1.30 xG 1.17 xGA 1.67

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FK Riga
Rating 1798
Elgava
Rating 1481

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • Virsliga

Team stats

FK Riga
WDWWWWWWDW
W 8 • D 2 • L 0 (10)
Goals average:2.6 : 0.6
2 place, 52 pts
Elgava
DDLDDDLWWW
W 3 • D 5 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.6 : 1.3
5 place, 25 pts
Head-to-head: 15 — FK Riga 12, draws 2, Elgava 1 (goals 47:15)
  • Riga — FK Jelgava2026-05-16 2:2
  • FK Jelgava — Riga2026-04-04 0:8
  • FK Jelgava — Riga2025-09-21 2:3
  • Riga — FK Jelgava2025-07-01 3:0
  • Riga — FK Jelgava2025-05-10 2:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

FK Riga - Elgava

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Riga - Elgava, 3 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Latvii po futbolu (Premier League) 2026, 22 round. Riga - Elgava, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.75 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.14 87.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%
X 6.50 15.4% 7.40 13.5% 7.50 13.3% 6.20 16.1% 7.00 14.3% 7.50 13.3%
14.00 7.1% 17.00 5.9% 12.00 8.3% 11.75 8.5% 14.00 7.1% 17.00 5.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.04 96.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 7.80 12.8% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%
x2 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 6.40 15.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.46 68.5%
X 2.96 33.8%
11.60 8.6%
Match center
FK Riga
W
13.06 09:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
FK Riga 4:1 Ogre UnitedOgre United
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Elgava
D D
13.06 13:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Elgava 1:1 AudaAuda
31.05 11:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Elgava 1:1 BFK DaugavpilsBFK Daugavpils
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFK Riga - Elgava

FK Riga
0 matches total
Elgava
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 FK Riga
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Elgava
FK Riga Team comparison Elgava
21 Games 21
16 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
1 Losses 8
62 Scored 24
19 Conceded 35
52 Points 25
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Riga 31 round Goly Raki Auani 1:0 11' Rezhinaldo Ramires 2:0 48' Zhuan Kristian 3:0 90+3'
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Riga Elgava 21 Games 21 16 Wins 6 4 Draws 7 1 Losses 8 62 Scored 24 19 Conceded 35 52 Points 25 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0.24 Warnings 0.19 0 Sendoffs 0.05 Sleduyuschiy match 19.09.2026 Latvia — Premier League Elgava –:– Riga 31 round Goly Raki Auani 1:0 11' Rezhinaldo Ramires 2:0 48' Zhuan Kristian 3:0 90+3' Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Adrian Gulya Glavnye trenery Aleksandr Ivanovich Basov Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 67% 22% 11% Double chance 45% 38% 17% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1301260' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');