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Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Latvia: Virsliga Standings
13.06.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Latvia: Virsliga Standings

Ogre United - FK Riga

Football
Ogre United
Ogre United
1 : 4
Finished
F
FK Riga

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ogre United - FK Riga June 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FK Riga.

Line favourite market consensus: FK Riga. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 18.58 / X 9.36 / 2 1.07
  • 1X2 market: Ogre United 5.0% / X 9.9% / FK Riga 85.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 4.9%
X 9.8%
2 85.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Virsliga
League table
Ogre United
#104 ptsGP 170-4-1314:42
LLDLL
FK Riga
#242 ptsGP 1713-3-154:18
WWWWD
Best price across 13 books
1 20.00 BetVictor
X 10.60 Pinnacle
2 1.11 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ogre United
W-D-L 0-2-8 Scored 0.90 Conceded 2.90 xG 0.79 xGA 2.29
1 -9.00 X -1.80 2 +0.41 1 (DNB) -6.00
FK Riga
W-D-L 8-2-0 Scored 2.80 Conceded 0.80 xG 2.61 xGA 0.76
1 -0.09 X +1.60 2 -10.00 1 (DNB) +0.69

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ogre United
Rating 1263
FK Riga
Rating 1763

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 13.06.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Ogre United - FK Riga

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
20.00 5.0% 21.00 4.8% 21.00 4.8% 15.00 6.7% 21.00 4.8% 23.00 4.4%
X 8.00 12.5% 9.80 10.2% 10.00 10.0% 7.60 13.2% 10.00 10.0% 10.00 10.0%
1.08 92.6% 1.04 96.2% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.23 81.3%
yes 3.60 27.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 8.00 12.5%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
10.00 10.0%
2.40 41.7%
9.50 10.5%
9.00 11.1%
1.83 54.6%
1.25 80.0%
1.13 88.5%
1.02 98.0%
1.50 66.7%
1.02 98.0%
1.03 97.1%
1.87 53.5%
3.45 29.0%
4.80 20.8%
3.35 29.9%
12.00 8.3%
8.50 11.8%
1.02 98.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOgre United - FK Riga

Ogre United
0 matches total
FK Riga
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history