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Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Latvia: Virsliga Standings
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Latvia: Virsliga Standings

Super Nova - Ogre United

Futbol
S
Super Nova
1 : 2
Finished
O
Ogre United
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Super Nova — 55%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Super Nova - Ogre United July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Super Nova.

Line favourite market consensus: Super Nova. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.71 / 2 4.48
  • 1X2 market: Super Nova 55.2% / X 24.5% / Ogre United 20.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.9%
1 55.2%
X 24.5%
2 20.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Super Nova
Well rested
  • Rest days: 4
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)
Ogre United
Well rested
  • Rest days: 5
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Super Nova - Ogre United

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X 3.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.65 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.80 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.72 26.9% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.85 26.0%
4.33 23.1% 4.67 21.4% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.14 87.7% 1.99 50.3%
yes 4.60 21.7% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 7.80 12.8%
x2 2.07 48.3% 2.14 46.7% 1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.27 44.1%
Х 2.11 47.4%
5.10 19.6%
Match center
Super Nova
W L
01.07 13:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Super Nova 2:1 Tukums 2000Tukums 2000
12.06 14:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Super Nova 1:2 LiepayaLiepaya
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Ogre United
L W
30.06 14:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Ogre United 0:4 LiepayaLiepaya
26.06 13:00 UTC Latvia: Virsliga Standings
Ogre United 3:2 Tukums 2000Tukums 2000
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
3.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySuper Nova - Ogre United

Super Nova
0 matches total
Ogre United
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history