AI verdict

AI pick Lyon win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 1.70

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lyon. Full breakdown below.

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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.04.2025 19:05 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Lyon - Rennes

France Football
Lyon
Lyon
4 : 1
Finished
Rennes
Rennes

Lyon go head-to-head with Rennes on April 26, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lyon 3-0-1, Rennes 2-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Lyon the favourite at about 57%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lyon - Rennes April 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.32 / 2 4.71
  • 1X2 market: Lyon 57.0% / X 22.4% / Rennes 20.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 57.0%
X 22.4%
2 20.6%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.04.2025 19:05 UTC
Market 1 57.0% @ 1.70 / X 22.4% @ 4.32 / 2 20.6% @ 4.71
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Match center

Lyon - Rennes

Form 4/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.71 market consensus · line only
X 4.32 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
X 4.32 23.2%
4.71 21.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.27 44.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.32 43.1%
Under 3.5 1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.63 27.6%
Match center
Lyon
L W W W
20.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 1:2 Saint EtienneSaint Etienne
13.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 3:1 OserOser
05.04 19:05 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 2:1 LillLill
20.10 13:00 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 4:0 KhavreKhavre
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Rennes
W W L D
18.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Rennes 2:1 NantesNantes
13.04 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Rennes 5:1 KhavreKhavre
06.04 15:15 UTC Liga 1
Rennes 0:1 OserOser
19.10 15:00 UTC Liga 1
Rennes 1:1 BrestBrest
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Lyon - Rennes

Lyon
0 matches total
Rennes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Lyon vs Rennes start?

April 26, 2025.