AI verdict

AI pick Lyon win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 1.68

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Lyon. Full breakdown below.

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Ligue 1
Ligue 1 France
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
20.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Ligue 1

France

Saint Etienne vs Lyon — Football prediction

France Football
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
2 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Saint Etienne meet Lyon on April 20, 2025 in the Ligue 1, France.

Recent form (W-D-L): Saint Etienne 1-1-2, Lyon 4-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Lyon the favourite at about 57%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Saint Etienne - Lyon April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.60 / X 4.48 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: Saint Etienne 21.0% / X 21.6% / Lyon 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 21.0%
X 21.6%
2 57.5%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 21.0% @ 4.60 / X 21.5% @ 4.48 / 2 57.5% @ 1.68
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Match center

Saint Etienne - Lyon

Form 4/4 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.48 market consensus · line only
1 4.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.60 21.7%
X 4.48 22.3%
1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 2.29 43.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 3.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.60 27.8%
1.32 75.8%
Match center
Saint Etienne
D L L W
13.04 13:00 UTC Liga 1
Saint Etienne 3:3 BrestBrest
06.04 13:00 UTC Liga 1
Saint Etienne 0:1 LansLans
26.10 15:00 UTC Liga 1
Saint Etienne 2:4 AnzheAnzhe
05.10 15:00 UTC Liga 1
Saint Etienne 3:1 OserOser
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Lyon
W W W W
13.04 18:45 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 3:1 OserOser
05.04 19:05 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 2:1 LillLill
20.10 13:00 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 4:0 KhavreKhavre
06.10 13:00 UTC Liga 1
Lyon 2:0 NantesNantes
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Saint Etienne - Lyon

Saint Etienne
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Saint Etienne vs Lyon?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Lyon. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Saint Etienne vs Lyon?

Live odds for Saint Etienne vs Lyon from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Saint Etienne vs Lyon start?

April 20, 2025.