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Liga I
Liga I Romania
05.04.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Liga I

Romania

Farul Constanta - Unirea Slobozia

Romania Football
Stadium Tsentralnyy Stadium (Akademiya George Khadzhi)
Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta
0 : 1
Finished
Unirea Slobozia
Unirea Slobozia
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Farul Constanta — 48%

1 · Farul Constanta47.6%
X · draw26.2%
2 · Unirea Slobozia26.2%

Model estimate: win Farul Constanta 47.6%, draw 26.2%, win Unirea Slobozia 26.2%. Model favourite — Farul Constanta.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Farul Constanta - Unirea Slobozia April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Farul Constanta.

Strongest: Farul Constanta - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.64 / X 3.63 / 2 5.23
  • 1X2 market: Farul Constanta 56.7% / X 25.6% / Unirea Slobozia 17.7%
  • Glicko: Farul Constanta 47.6% / X 26.2% / Unirea Slobozia 26.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 12.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 56.6%
X 25.6%
2 17.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 44.1%
Under 2.5 55.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 52.6%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 14:30 UTC
Stadium Tsentralnyy Stadium (Akademiya George Khadzhi) (Ovidiu)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Farul Constanta 48%
💹 Market Farul Constanta 5669%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Farul Constanta - Unirea Slobozia

Farul Constanta: Win 1.67 Farul Constanta: Draw 3.60 Unirea Slobozia Win: 4.20 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.95 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.85 Individualnyy total golov Farul Constanta bolshe 1.5: 1.83 Individualnyy total golov Farul Constanta menshe 1.5: 1.83 Ind…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 15
Statistics 24
Lineups 4
min Event Player Team
22' 22' Yellow Card Unirea Slobozia
31' 31' Substitution 1 | R. Garutti | assist/sub out: Esteban Orozco Unirea Slobozia
46' 46' Substitution 3 | V. Dican | assist/sub out: Ricardo Miguel Torrão Ramalho Farul Constanta
46' 46' Substitution 5 | P. Dulcea | assist/sub out: A. Dorobantu Unirea Slobozia
46' 46' Substitution 6 | V. Pop | assist/sub out: C. A. Albu Unirea Slobozia
54' 54' Normal Goal | R. Espinosa Unirea Slobozia
59' 59' Substitution 4 | Steve Furtado | assist/sub out: E. Rădăslăvescu Kristyna Damaskova Farul Constanta
60' 60' Substitution 9 | D. Yanakov | assist/sub out: C. Barbut Unirea Slobozia
Metric Farul Constanta Unirea Slobozia SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.73 0.61 final
Zablokirovannye udary 9 3 final
Shots off target 14 2 final
Shots on target 3 3 final
Udary vsego 26 8 final
Fouls soversheno 4 17 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 4 final
Offsides 1 0 final
Farul Constanta #7 D. Alibec
Unirea Slobozia #30 Teodor Lungu
Player Team Metric SStats
D. Alibec Farul Constanta football.player.assists 0
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Dribling popytki 2
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Dribling uspeshno 2
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Edinoborstva vyigrano 6
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Fouls soversheno 1
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Fouls na igroke 1
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Seyvy 0
D. Alibec Farul Constanta football.player.minutes_played 90
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Tochnost pasov % 4
D. Alibec Farul Constanta Klyuchevye pasy 35
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Farul Constanta 56.7% 47.6% market and model agree
Draw 25.6% 26.2% draw risk
Unirea Slobozia 17.7% 26.2%
xG - 1.47 : 1.02
Total 2.5 Over 12.6% - Under 87.4%
Model check - - Difference 0.09
Favourite-trap risk Thin market consensus Market vs Glicko gap: 0.09

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 47.6% / 26.2% / 26.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,507 / 1,403 Farul Constanta / Unirea Slobozia
RD 71 / 73 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.23 market consensus · no value · model 26.2%
X 3.63 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.64 market consensus · no value · model 47.6%
Double chance
X2 2.27 market consensus · value +18.9% · model 52.4%
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 73.8%
1X 1.17 market consensus · no value · model 73.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.72 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · no value · model 12.6%
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · value +46.8% · model 87.4%
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Betano
1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8%
5.15 19.4% 5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Betano
no 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome Betano
draw_away 2.27 44.1%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet Betano
Over 0.5 — 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.34 74.6% 1.40 71.4%
Over 1.75 — 1.50 66.7%
Over 2.0 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.25 — 1.91 52.4%
Over 2.5 2.08 48.1% 2.18 45.9%
Over 2.75 — 2.55 39.2%
Over 3.0 — 3.20 31.3%
Over 3.5 3.60 27.8% 3.85 26.0%
Over 4.5 6.85 14.6% 7.40 13.5%
Under 1.5 2.82 35.5% —
Under 2.5 1.64 61.0% —
Under 3.5 1.23 81.3% —
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5% —
Match center
Farul Constanta
Founded 2016
Unirea Slobozia
Founded 2004
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.