Match center
Start
04.04.2026 23:00 UTC
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04.04.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished
Liga MX
Monterrey - Atletico San Luis
1
:
2
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Monterrey — 57%
Model estimate: win Monterrey 57.2%, draw 22.8%, win Atletico San Luis 20.0%. Model favourite — Monterrey.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monterrey - Atletico San Luis April 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Monterrey.
Strongest: Monterrey - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.24 / 2 5.60
- 1X2 market: Monterrey 61.7% / X 21.8% / Atletico San Luis 16.5%
- Glicko: Monterrey 57.2% / X 22.8% / Atletico San Luis 20.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 80.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 ✓ Pick
61.8%
X
21.7%
2
16.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
59.1%
Under 2.5
40.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
60.7%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
2:1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Monterrey 57%
💹 Market
Monterrey 6171%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Monterrey - Atletico San Luis
Monterrey: Win 1.57 Monterrey: Draw 4.33 Atletico San Luis Win: 5.25 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.57 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.35 Individualnyy total golov Monterrey bolshe 1.5: 1.50 Individualnyy total golov Monterrey menshe 1.5: 2.50 Individualnyy total golo…
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:2
Events
16
Statistics
24
Lineups
19
min
Event
Player
Team
9'
9' Yellow Card
Atletico San Luis
20'
20' Normal Goal
Monterrey
22'
22' Substitution 1 | J. Rodriguez | assist/sub out: L. Orellano
V. Šarkauskas
Monterrey
46'
46' Substitution 1 | A. Duarte | assist/sub out: L. Flores
Atletico San Luis
48'
48' Normal Goal
Atletico San Luis
51'
51' Yellow Card
Atletico San Luis
66'
66' Yellow Card | C. Salcedo
A. Gory
Monterrey
67'
67' Substitution 3 | C. Salcedo | assist/sub out: S. Medina
A. Gory
Monterrey
Metric
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
0.92
1.62
final
Zablokirovannye udary
3
2
final
Shots off target
5
6
final
Shots on target
7
7
final
Udary vsego
15
15
final
Fouls soversheno
9
8
final
Zheltye kartochki
2
3
final
Offsides
1
2
final
Monterrey
#2 R. Chávez, #3 G. Arteaga, #5 F. Ambríz, #8 Óliver Torres, #10 Sergio Canales, #13 C. Salcedo, #17 J. Corona, #20 U. Đurđević, #22 L. Cárdenas
Atletico San Luis
#28 J. Medina
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Aceves
Monterrey
Seyvy
0
C. Frayde
Monterrey
Seyvy
0
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
football.player.assists
0
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
Dribling popytki
4
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
Edinoborstva vsego
3
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
Edinoborstva vyigrano
8
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
Seyvy
0
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
football.player.minutes_played
67
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
Klyuchevye pasy
50
C. Salcedo
Monterrey
Reyting (staryy)
6.7
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Monterrey
63.6%
57.2%
market and model agree
Draw
21.2%
22.8%
draw risk
Atletico San Luis
15.2%
20.0%
xG
-
1.83 : 0.98
Total 2.5
Over 80.5%
-
Under 19.5%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.06
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.06
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
57.2% / 22.8% / 20.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,564 / 1,420
Monterrey / Atletico San Luis
RD
72 / 74
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.60
market consensus · no value · model 20.0%
X
4.24
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.49
market consensus · no value · model 57.2%
Double chance
X2
2.46
market consensus · no value · model 42.8%
12
1.19
market consensus · no value · model 77.2%
1X
1.12
market consensus · no value · model 80.0%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.54
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.97
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.53
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.50
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.60
market consensus · value +28.9% · model 80.5%
Under 2.5
2.31
market consensus · no value · model 19.5%
Both teams to score
No
2.06
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.68
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.51 66.2% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 4.20 23.8% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.35 23.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.25 23.5% | 4.33 23.1% |
| 5.90 17.0% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.64 17.7% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.80 17.2% | 5.50 18.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Unibet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.45 40.8% | 2.46 40.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.46 40.7% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% |
| home_draw | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
Monterrey
Founded
1945
Atletico San Luis
Founded
2013
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMonterrey - Atletico San Luis
Monterrey
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form