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Liga MX
Liga MX Mexico
04.04.2026 01:00 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

Liga MX

Mexico

Puebla - FC Juarez

Mexico Football
Stadium Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
Puebla
1 : 1
Finished
FC Juarez
FC Juarez

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puebla - FC Juarez April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Juarez.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Juarez. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.70 / X 3.32 / 2 2.42
  • 1X2 market: Puebla 34.1% / X 27.8% / FC Juarez 38.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 34.1%
X 27.8%
2 38.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 49.3%
Under 2.5 50.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 01:00 UTC
Match center

Puebla - FC Juarez

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.99 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.04 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.75 36.4% 2.68 37.3% 2.68 37.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.32 30.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.40 29.4%
2.44 41.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.77 56.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.49 67.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 — — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% — 1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75 — — 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 1.85 54.1% 2.00 50.0% —
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8% — —
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0% — —
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1% — —
Under 1.5 3.50 28.6% — —
Under 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% —
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2% — —
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1% — —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuebla - FC Juarez

Puebla
0 matches total
FC Juarez
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history