Match center
Start
05.04.2026 03:00 UTC
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05.04.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished
Liga MX
Santos Laguna - Club America
1
:
1
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Club America — 56%
Model estimate: win Santos Laguna 19.4%, draw 24.2%, win Club America 56.5%. Model favourite — Club America.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santos Laguna - Club America April 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Club America.
Strongest: Club America - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.06 / X 4.13 / 2 1.56
- 1X2 market: Santos Laguna 18.3% / X 22.4% / Club America 59.3%
- Glicko: Santos Laguna 19.4% / X 24.2% / Club America 56.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 81.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.1%
1
18.3%
X
22.4%
2 ✓ Pick
59.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5
58.4%
Under 2.5
41.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 2
Main outcome
Agreement
4/4
Confidence
58.6%
Total
Over 2.5
Score
1:2
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Club America 56%
💹 Market
Club America 5930%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Santos Laguna - Club America
Santos Laguna: Win 5.00 Santos Laguna: Draw 4.00 Club America Win: 1.67 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.70 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.10 Individualnyy total golov Santos Laguna bolshe 0.5: 1.44 Individualnyy total golov Santos Laguna menshe 0.5: 2.62 Individualnyy…
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
4
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
18
Statistics
26
Lineups
19
min
Event
Player
Team
16'
16' Substitution 1 | E. Sanchez | assist/sub out: Lima
Club America
43'
43' Substitution 1 | A. Lopez | assist/sub out: T. Jimenez
Santos Laguna
45'
45' Yellow Card | J. Guemez
Santos Laguna
53'
53' Yellow Card | L. Di Yorio
Hyeong-ju Han
Santos Laguna
67'
67' Substitution 5 | J. Zuniga | assist/sub out: P. Salas
Club America
70'
70' Substitution 4 | E. Bullaude | assist/sub out: R. Sordo
E. Tougjas
Santos Laguna
77'
77' Card upgrade | K. Picon
Santos Laguna
78'
78' Red Card
Santos Laguna
Metric
Santos Laguna
Club America
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
0.96
1.79
final
Zablokirovannye udary
2
4
final
Shots off target
3
11
final
Shots on target
4
5
final
Udary vsego
9
20
final
Fouls soversheno
17
10
final
Red cards
1
0
final
Zheltye kartochki
3
0
final
Santos Laguna
#9 L. Di Yorio
Club America
#3 I. Reyes, #5 K. GЃlvarez, #7 Brian RodrGguez, #17 Rodrigo Dourado, #19 R. ZGєG±iga, #23 Raphael Veiga, #29 R. JuGЎrez, #30 R. Cota
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Cervantes
Club America
Seyvy
0
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
football.player.assists
0
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
football.player.goals
1
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
Seyvy
0
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
football.player.minutes_played
11
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
Klyuchevye pasy
9
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
Pasy vsego
1
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
Reyting (staryy)
7.5
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
Shots on target
1
A. Gutiérrez
Club America
Otbory vsego
9
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Santos Laguna
17.0%
19.4%
Draw
22.6%
24.2%
draw risk
Club America
60.4%
56.5%
market and model agree
xG
-
0.87 : 1.68
Total 2.5
Over 81.7%
-
Under 18.3%
Model check
-
-
Difference 0.04
The match leans toward a high total
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
19.4% / 24.2% / 56.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,391 / 1,575
Santos Laguna / Club America
RD
77 / 75
rating uncertainty
HFA: -
HFA mu: -
MoV: -
N: N=1
P: glicko2_expected
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.56
market consensus · no value · model 56.5%
X
4.13
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
5.06
market consensus · no value · model 19.4%
Double chance
X2
1.15
market consensus · no value · model 80.6%
12
1.20
market consensus · no value · model 75.8%
1X
2.32
market consensus · no value · model 43.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.98
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.61
market consensus · value +31.6% · model 81.7%
Under 2.5
2.26
market consensus · no value · model 18.3%
Both teams to score
No
2.11
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.65
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.30 18.9% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.94 20.2% | 5.75 17.4% | 4.90 20.4% | 5.00 20.0% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.30 23.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.20 23.8% |
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Unibet | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_draw | 2.35 42.6% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.29 43.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
Santos Laguna
Founded
1983
Club America
Founded
1916
Match center
Full head-to-head historySantos Laguna - Club America
Santos Laguna
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form