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Liga Pro
Liga Pro Ecuador
05.04.2026 00:00 UTC
05.04.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Liga Pro

Ecuador

Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca

Ecuador Football
Emelec
Emelec
- : -
Finished
Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Emelec.

Line favourite market consensus: Emelec. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.05 / X 3.18 / 2 3.42
  • 1X2 market: Emelec 44.5% / X 28.8% / Deportivo Cuenca 26.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 44.6%
X 28.7%
2 26.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet William Hill
2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.32 30.1% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 2.90 34.5%
3.48 28.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet William Hill
no 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet William Hill
draw_away 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.26 79.4% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 1.75 1.42 70.4%
Over 2.0 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.25 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.5 2.16 46.3%
Over 2.75 2.43 41.2%
Over 3.0 3.14 31.9%
Over 3.25 3.50 28.6%
Over 3.5 3.92 25.5%
Over 3.75 5.00 20.0%
Over 4.0 7.30 13.7%
Over 4.25 7.80 12.8%
Over 4.5 8.20 12.2%
Over 5.5 16.00 6.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEmelec - Deportivo Cuenca

Emelec
0 matches total
Deportivo Cuenca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history