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Liga Profesional Argentina
Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina
05.04.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina

Gimnasia L.P. - Huracan

Argentina Football
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia L.P.
0 : 3
Finished
Huracan
Huracan
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Huracan38%

1 · Gimnasia L.P.32.3%
X · draw30.0%
2 · Huracan37.6%

Model estimate: win Gimnasia L.P. 32.3%, draw 30.0%, win Huracan 37.6%. Model favourite — Huracan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gimnasia L.P. - Huracan April 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gimnasia L.P..

Line favourite market consensus: Gimnasia L.P.. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 2.85 / 2 2.80
  • 1X2 market: Gimnasia L.P. 33.9% / X 32.8% / Huracan 33.4%
  • Glicko: Gimnasia L.P. 32.3% / X 30.0% / Huracan 37.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 7.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 33.9%
X 32.7%
2 33.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.4%
Over 2.5 33.5%
Under 2.5 66.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 31.3%
Total Under 2.5
Score 0:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2026 18:30 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Huracan 38%
💹 Market Gimnasia L.P. 3389%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Gimnasia L.P. - Huracan

Gimnasia L.P.: Win 3.20 Gimnasia L.P.: Draw 2.90 Huracan Win: 2.50 Obschiy total golov bolshe 1.5: 1.62 Obschiy total golov menshe 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Gimnasia L.P. bolshe 0.5: 1.62 Individualnyy total golov Gimnasia L.P. menshe 0.5: 2.20 Individualnyy tota…

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 18
Statistics 22
Lineups 5
min Event Player Team
17' 17' Normal Goal | I. Campo Huracan
25' 25' Yellow Card Huracan
46' 46' Substitution 1 | M. Panaro | assist/sub out: M. Zalazar Gimnasia L.P.
50' 50' Yellow Card | F. F. Waller Martiarena Huracan
60' 60' Substitution 2 | L. Castro | assist/sub out: A. Auzmendi Gimnasia L.P.
60' 60' Substitution 2 | O. Romero | assist/sub out: L. Gil Ellyes Skhiri Huracan
63' 63' Yellow Card Gimnasia L.P.
66' 66' Normal Goal | L. Blondel D. Mikelionis Huracan
Metric Gimnasia L.P. Huracan SStats
Zablokirovannye udary 4 4 final
Shots off target 16 1 final
Shots on target 5 5 final
Udary vsego 25 10 final
Fouls soversheno 6 19 final
Zheltye kartochki 1 4 final
Offsides 5 2 final
Ball possession, % 66 34 final
Gimnasia L.P. #8 I. Fernández
Huracan #2 L. Blondel, #7 O. Cortes, #10 O. Romero
Player Team Metric SStats
G. Conti Gimnasia L.P. Seyvy 0
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. football.player.assists 0
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Dribling popytki 3
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Dribling uspeshno 2
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Edinoborstva vsego 1
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Edinoborstva vyigrano 9
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Fouls soversheno 2
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Seyvy 0
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. football.player.minutes_played 90
I. Fernández Gimnasia L.P. Tochnost pasov % 4
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gimnasia L.P. 34.2% 32.3% market favourite
Draw 32.8% 30.0% draw risk
Huracan 33.0% 37.6% Glicko contrarian
xG - 0.99 : 1.09
Total 2.5 Over 7.5% - Under 92.5%
Model check - - Difference 0.05
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.3% / 30.0% / 37.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,482 / 1,498 Gimnasia L.P. / Huracan
RD 102 / 102 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 37.6%
X 2.85 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.75 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.3%
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 67.7%
12 1.38 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 70.0%
1X 1.41 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 62.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.78 market consensus · no value · model 7.5%
Under 2.5 1.40 market consensus · value +29.5% · model 92.5%
Both teams to score
No 1.61 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.70 37.0%
X 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
2.75 36.4% 2.76 36.2% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet William Hill
no 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3% 1.08 92.6%
Over 0.75 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.0 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.25 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.5 1.62 61.7% 1.59 62.9%
Over 1.75 1.73 57.8%
Over 2.0 2.02 49.5%
Over 2.25 2.35 42.6%
Over 2.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 3.5 6.25 16.0%
Over 4.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 0.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 1.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 2.5 1.40 71.4%
Under 3.5 1.11 90.1%
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Gimnasia L.P.
Founded 1887
Huracan
Founded 1908
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGimnasia L.P. - Huracan

Gimnasia L.P.
0 matches total
Huracan
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.