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Liga Profesional Argentina
Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina
03.04.2026 20:15 UTC Match prediction
03.04.2026 20:15 UTC
Finished

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentina

Union Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra

Argentina Football
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
2 : 0
Finished
Deportivo Riestra
Deportivo Riestra

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Union Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra April 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Santa Fe.

Line favourite market consensus: Union Santa Fe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.00 / 2 4.75
  • 1X2 market: Union Santa Fe 49.4% / X 31.0% / Deportivo Riestra 19.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 49.4%
X 31.0%
2 19.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 31.8%
Under 2.5 68.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.04.2026 20:15 UTC
Match center

Union Santa Fe - Deportivo Riestra

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 2.97 33.7% 2.80 35.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%
4.65 21.5% 4.30 23.3% 4.88 20.5% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.45 40.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2% 2.49 40.2% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.12 89.3% — 1.10 90.9%
Over 0.75 — — 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.0 — — 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.25 — — 1.41 70.9%
Over 1.5 1.65 60.6% — 1.65 60.6%
Over 1.75 — 1.92 52.1% 1.82 55.0%
Over 2.5 3.00 33.3% — —
Over 3.5 6.25 16.0% — —
Over 4.5 11.00 9.1% — —
Under 0.5 5.75 17.4% — —
Under 1.5 2.20 45.5% — —
Under 1.75 — 1.96 51.0% —
Under 2.5 1.38 72.5% — —
Under 3.5 1.11 90.1% — —
Under 4.5 1.03 97.1% — —